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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">136</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title xml:lang="en">Vegetation Ecology and Diversity</journal-title>
        <abbrev-journal-title xml:lang="en">VED</abbrev-journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="epub">3033-1447</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>Società Italiana di Scienza della Vegetazione (S.I.S.V.)</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3897/ved.177152</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">177152</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Research Article</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="biological_taxon">
          <subject>Gymnospermae</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="scientific_subject">
          <subject>Vegetation mapping</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>﻿Tree line dynamics and forest densification in the European Alps revealed by Landsat images and machine learning: a case study in the Senales/Schnals Valley</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group content-type="authors">
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Menegaldo</surname>
            <given-names>Irene</given-names>
          </name>
          <email xlink:type="simple">irmenegaldo@unibz.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">1</xref>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-original-draft/">Writing - original draft</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/formal-analysis/">Formal analysis</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/investigation/">Investigation</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/validation/">Validation</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/visualization/">Visualization</role>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Mølbach Sforzini</surname>
            <given-names>Victoria</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">1</xref>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-original-draft/">Writing - original draft</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/formal-analysis/">Formal analysis</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/investigation/">Investigation</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/methodology/">Methodology</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/visualization/">Visualization</role>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Tognetti</surname>
            <given-names>Roberto</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A2">2</xref>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing - review and editing</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/supervision/">Supervision</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/validation/">Validation</role>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Torresani</surname>
            <given-names>Michele</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A2">2</xref>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/conceptualization/">Conceptualization</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/">Writing - review and editing</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/supervision/">Supervision</role>
          <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/validation/">Validation</role>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <aff id="A1">
        <label>1</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">Free University of Bolzano/Bozen, Faculty of Science and Technology, Bolzano/Bozen, Italy</addr-line>
        <institution>Free University of Bolzano/Bozen</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Bolzano/Bozen</addr-line>
        <country>Italy</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A2">
        <label>2</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">Competence Centre for Plant Health, Bolzano, Italy</addr-line>
        <institution>Competence Centre for Plant Health</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Bolzano</addr-line>
        <country>Italy</country>
      </aff>
      <author-notes>
        <fn fn-type="corresp">
          <p>Corresponding author: Irene Menegaldo (<email xlink:type="simple">irmenegaldo@unibz.it</email>)</p>
        </fn>
        <fn fn-type="edited-by">
          <p>Academic editor: Maria Adamo</p>
        </fn>
      </author-notes>
      <pub-date pub-type="collection">
        <year>2025</year>
      </pub-date>
      <pub-date pub-type="epub">
        <day>16</day>
        <month>12</month>
        <year>2025</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>62</volume>
      <elocation-id>e177152</elocation-id>
      <uri content-type="arpha" xlink:href="http://openbiodiv.net/BF8226CF-7402-595A-89B0-22969F63AEC2">BF8226CF-7402-595A-89B0-22969F63AEC2</uri>
      <uri content-type="zenodo_dep_id" xlink:href="https://zenodo.org/record/17973628">17973628</uri>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received">
          <day>05</day>
          <month>11</month>
          <year>2025</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="accepted">
          <day>01</day>
          <month>12</month>
          <year>2025</year>
        </date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Irene Menegaldo, Victoria Mølbach Sforzini, Roberto Tognetti, Michele Torresani</copyright-statement>
        <license license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple">
          <license-p>This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <abstract>
        <label>﻿Abstract</label>
        <p>The alpine tree line represents one of the most climate-sensitive ecological boundaries, where multiple interacting factors determine vegetation distribution at its upper limit. This study investigates the spatio-temporal dynamics of the tree line in the Senales Valley (South Tyrol, Italy) between 1985 and 2023, combining multi-temporal Landsat imagery, Random Forest (<abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0EGE">RF</abbrev>) classification, and visual orthophoto interpretation performed by manually delineating the forest boundary to assess both spatial and elevational shifts. Climatic variables (temperature, precipitation, snow cover, and growing season length) were analysed using linear models (<abbrev xlink:title="linear models" id="ABBRID0EKE">LM</abbrev>) and generalized additive models (<abbrev xlink:title="generalized additive models" id="ABBRID0EOE">GAM</abbrev>) to identify long-term trends and potential drivers of tree line migration. The results reveal a consistent increase in forest cover in all 16 study areas, averaging +44%, with the largest expansions occurring on slopes facing W. Elevational advances were recorded in 15 of 16 areas, averaging +32 m for Landsat-derived data and +45 m for orthophotos. Elevated minimum temperatures during spring and autumn, alongside warmer summers and a significant rise in precipitation during the same season, created conditions which maintained soil moisture and reduced water stress—factors known to facilitate tree line advancement. Wind exposure from the N-NW sector and associated föhn effects appeared to limit tree line expansion on S-SE facing slopes. Comparison between manual and <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0ESE">RF</abbrev>-derived tree lines revealed overall high agreement, with deviations below one Landsat pixel (30 m) in most cases. This confirms that Landsat imagery combined with <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0EWE">RF</abbrev> algorithms provides a robust, cost-effective method for assessing long-term tree line dynamics in heterogeneous alpine environments.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <label>Keywords</label>
        <kwd>Climate change</kwd>
        <kwd>Landsat</kwd>
        <kwd>Random Forest classification</kwd>
        <kwd>remote sensing</kwd>
        <kwd>topographic factors</kwd>
        <kwd>tree line dynamics</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec sec-type="﻿Introduction" id="SECID0EDF">
      <title>﻿Introduction</title>
      <p>The alpine tree line ecotone is described as the transition zone that leads from a closed montane forest to the treeless alpine meadows (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">Körner 2003</xref>). The transition is not always represented by a sharp line, but rather by a vegetational shift gradient (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Körner and Paulsen 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Gruber et al. 2022</xref>), which inevitably marks the line above which trees cannot survive (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B78">Nagy et al. 2003</xref>). The structure and ecological processes that regulate the position of the tree line are highly complex, making it a fragile ecological transition zone, where many species live in conditions close to their ecological limits (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Cudlín et al. 2013</xref>). Due to this inherent fragility, even subtle changes in environmental conditions can trigger marked ecological responses. Consequently, the treeline ecotone functions as a sensitive system for assessing ecosystem responses to climate change (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">Mountain Research Initiative EDW Working Group 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Camarero et al. 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Dial et al. 2022</xref>). Numerous studies have assessed the advancement of the tree line in the European Alps and in various regions around the world (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Leonelli et al. 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B112">Wang et al. 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Gruber et al. 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B108">Tourville et al. 2023</xref>). Being mostly limited by cold temperatures (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Paulsen and Körner 2014</xref>), treelines experience faster warming rates compared to other ecotones that do not experience such extreme conditions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Bhatt et al. 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">IPCC 2023</xref>), which could trigger rapid advancement (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Grace et al. 2002</xref>). The most recent global meta-analysis on tree line dynamics proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Hansson et al. (2021)</xref> states that 66% of tree lines around the world have seen an increase in elevational or latitudinal extent. This implies that the tree line ecotone responds differently to increasing temperatures because it is a complex system shaped by multiple interacting drivers. These factors create site-specific combinations of limitations for the establishment of new individuals, yet they also reveal broader patterns that can be used to describe tree line dynamics at regional and global scales (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Lischke et al. 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Case and Duncan 2014</xref>). In addition, changes in the precipitation regime could lead to significant changes in tree line dynamics. However, the role of precipitation and related soil moisture supply has remained less clear compared to the more predictable trend of temperatures throughout vast regions. This may be due to the significant impact of regional and local variations, especially in heterogeneous topographic mountain areas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">López-Moreno et al. 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Holtmeier and Broll 2020</xref>). In alpine areas, the duration of snow cover, which is strictly correlated with winter temperatures, can critically affect seedling establishment, survival, and growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Barbeito et al. 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Carrer et al. 2019</xref>). In addition, many tree lines are increasingly influenced by seasonal drought. The impact of heat deficiency and drought often overlaps, leading to drought periods (linked with periods that lack sufficient precipitation) that can overrule the positive effects of climate warming (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Choat et al. 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B102">Timoney et al. 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">De Boer et al. 2019</xref>). Topography seems to be another limiting factor driving tree line spatial patterns, both on a local (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Carmel and Kadmon 1999</xref>) and at landscape level (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B108">Tourville et al. 2023</xref>). Upward shifting is not spatially uniform due to specific microclimate disparities that could favor or prevent seedling establishment (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B119">Zheng et al. 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B120">Zhou et al. 2021</xref>). Considering regional magnitude, trees growing on N-facing slopes tend to experience colder temperatures but also have a lower risk of photoinhibition due to less direct solar irradiation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B97">Smith et al. 2003</xref>). Trees on aspects exposed to high winds tend to suffer increased cold-related tissue damage and icing, whereas less exposed trees may be more protected by increased snow cover (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Holtmeier and Broll 2012</xref>). Recent advances in remote sensing (<abbrev xlink:title="remote sensing" id="ABBRID0EGBAC">RS</abbrev>) techniques have become essential tools for analysing land changes on a large scale (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Lang and Wegner 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">Pham et al. 2024</xref>) and in remote areas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Curtis et al. 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">He et al. 2025</xref>), facilitating data acquisition, and providing data in a continuous manner. <abbrev xlink:title="remote sensing" id="ABBRID0E1BAC">RS</abbrev> technology can also be used to assess ecological changes such as biodiversity loss (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B92">Rossi et al. 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B107">Torresani et al. 2025</xref>) and vegetation dynamics (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B85">Perrone et al. 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B91">Rocchini et al. 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B106">Torresani et al. 2024b</xref>). The Landsat program provides the longest continuous satellite global coverage since 1972 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Irons et al. 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">NASA 2024</xref>), acquiring multispectral imagery at moderate resolution. The broad availability of extensive datasets led Landsat to be widely used for land change detection (see, e.g., (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">Ouchra et al. 2023</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Das and Prasad 2025</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Gatti et al. 2025</xref>)). The application of machine learning (ML) algorithms has significantly improved land cover and land change classification efforts (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B99">Sylvain et al. 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Chieffallo et al. 2025</xref>), due to their ability to process large volumes of data while maintaining high accuracy in identifying patterns and drivers of forest loss and expansion in satellite imagery. Among the various ML algorithms, Random Forest (<abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0EODAC">RF</abbrev>) has demonstrated strong predictive capabilities to classify different land cover types, with extensive empirical support from global case studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">Mehmood et al. 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B94">Shahzad et al. 2024</xref>). Furthermore, <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0E1DAC">RF</abbrev> effectively models complex, non-linear relationships in ecological data (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Hussain et al. 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Feng et al. 2025</xref>). Consequently, there has been growing interest in the combined use of <abbrev xlink:title="remote sensing" id="ABBRID0EGEAC">RS</abbrev> and ML algorithms, resulting in a rising number of studies monitoring large-scale changes in forest cover (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Datta et al. 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B117">Yuh et al. 2023</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">Mahapatra et al. 2025</xref>). Although significant advances in the understanding of tree line dynamics through multispectral <abbrev xlink:title="remote sensing" id="ABBRID0EWEAC">RS</abbrev> time series (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Chhetri and Thai 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Baglioni et al. 2025</xref>), and despite evidence that environmental conditions determine tree line distribution at regional level (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Bonanomi et al. 2018</xref>), a direct comparison between machine-learning-based treeline detection and manual delineation is still lacking – especially when accounting for climate-derived variables such as growing season length, which can strongly regulate tree establishment, recruitment, and growth near the upper forest limit. Therefore, it is relevant to investigate whether this combination can lead to meaningful results when monitoring the dynamics of tree lines in the alpine region.</p>
      <p>The main objective of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness of integrating Landsat time-series data with ML techniques to monitor tree line dynamics and to identify the climatic and topographic drivers influencing these dynamics in the alpine region, using the Senales Valley (South Tyrol, Italy) as a case study. This study investigates the extent to which treeline positions derived from Landsat time-series using machine-learning classification align with those obtained from orthophoto visual analysis, how long-term variations in temperature, precipitation and length of growing season relate to the observed treeline dynamics, and to what extent topographic factors (elevation, slope, aspect) influence the rate and spatial patterns of treeline shifts.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec sec-type="methods" id="SECID0EHFAC">
      <title>﻿Methods</title>
      <sec sec-type="﻿Site description" id="SECID0ELFAC">
        <title>﻿Site description</title>
        <p>The area of interest is located in the N-W corner of the autonomous province of Bolzano – South Tyrol, Italy, and corresponds to the Senales municipality that covers the entire Senales valley, <named-content content-type="dwc:verbatimCoordinates"><named-content content-type="geo-json" specific-use="{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;Point&quot;,&quot;coordinates&quot;:[10.916667,46.700000]}" id="NCID0EUFAC">46°42'N–10°55'E</named-content></named-content> (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">1</xref>). The Senales valley branches out from the Venosta valley and covers an area of approximately 210 km<sup>2</sup> with the lowest point being at the beginning of the valley, 824 m a.s.l., and the highest peak being at Similaun at 3607 m a.s.l. (Autonomous Province of Bolzano – South Tyrol 2024). The orientation of the valley is mostly N-W, with a smaller side valley, the Pfosser valley, stretching toward the NE. Based on measurements from the meteorological station in Vernagt/Vernago (Weather South Tyrol 2024), the Senales valley experienced an annual precipitation mean of 713 mm during the period 1981–2023 with a mean of 129 days of precipitation per year. Most of the precipitation occurs during the spring and summer months from April to August. The annual mean temperature registered from 1981 to 2023 for the valley was 5.5 °C. Among the main tree species that can be found at the tree line level in this valley is European larch (<italic>Larix decidua</italic> Mill.). In the Senales valley, the larch makes up the forest stands all the way up to the tree line on mountain faces with S and W exposure, where it receives more light during sun hours, while on N- and E-exposed slopes, the forest composition is more mixed. Another tree species found in the area is Swiss stone pine (<italic>Pinus cembra</italic> L.). Here, it can primarily be found on N- and E-exposed slopes towards the tree line. It is considered one of the best adapted trees to withstand cold climates (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Caudullo and de Rigo 2016</xref>). Patches of Norway spruce (<italic>Picea abies</italic> (L.) H.Karst.) and broadleaved species are found at lower elevations in the montane zone.</p>
        <fig id="F1" position="float" orientation="portrait">
          <object-id content-type="doi">10.3897/ved.177152.figure1</object-id>
          <object-id content-type="arpha">9CF342E3-76AE-5B78-AB2E-0B229EDE1F59</object-id>
          <label>Figure 1.</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Overview of the 16 selected study areas in the Senales valley, South Tyrol, Italy. The different aspects and steepness are marked with different colors. The base map is an RGB orthophoto acquired in June 2023 (original resolution = 0.2 m) provided by the Autonomous Province of Bolzano – South Tyrol (Autonomous Province of Bolzano – South Tyrol, 2024).</p>
          </caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="ved-62-001-g001.jpg" position="float" orientation="portrait" xlink:type="simple" id="oo_1493528.jpg">
            <uri content-type="original_file">https://binary.pensoft.net/fig/1493528</uri>
          </graphic>
        </fig>
      </sec>
      <sec sec-type="﻿Data collection" id="SECID0EIGAC">
        <title>﻿Data collection</title>
        <p>Within the Senales valley, 16 smaller study areas (500 m × 600 m each) were selected as the basis for the analysis (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">1</xref> and Suppl. material <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="S1">1</xref>). Selection of the Senales valley was guided by representing treeline-shift dynamics in the South-Tirol region, the presence of a proximal meteorological station providing reliable climatic data, and the availability of Landsat scenes with minimal cloud cover. The areas selection was then based on three topographic criteria: elevation, aspect, and steepness derived from the Digital Terrain Model (<abbrev xlink:title="Digital Terrain Model" id="ABBRID0EWGAC">DTM</abbrev>) of the Senales valley (Autonomous Province of Bolzano – South Tyrol 2024).</p>
        <list list-type="bullet">
          <list-item>
            <p>Elevation: Areas were selected within a consistent elevation range to capture the tree line ecotone. The target range was 1800–2400 m a.s.l., as the tree line in the central Alps generally lies within this interval (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">Körner 2003</xref>).
</p>
          </list-item>
          <list-item>
            <p>Aspect: The selected areas covered different slope orientations. A classification in the four cardinal directions (N, E, S, and W) was used to represent this variation.
</p>
          </list-item>
          <list-item>
            <p>Steepness: A slope threshold was applied to distinguish between gentler and steeper areas.
</p>
          </list-item>
          <list-item>
            <p>The threshold was set at 30°, which marks the division between hilly slopes (15°–30°) and moderately steep slopes (30°–45°) according to the USDA slope classification (United States Department of Agriculture <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B110">2009</xref>).
</p>
          </list-item>
        </list>
        <p>This categorization resulted in eight possible combinations (four possible aspects, N, E, S, W, and a slope steepness below or above 30°). Based on these criteria, 16 areas were selected in total, ensuring that each set of topographic criteria was represented twice.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec sec-type="﻿Remote sensing application: data used and data elaboration" id="SECID0EGHAC">
        <title>﻿Remote sensing application: data used and data elaboration</title>
        <p>For this analysis, we used a Landsat 5 (TM) image from August 29, 1985, and a Landsat 8 (OLI) image from July 2, 2022, both on path 193, row 027. They were downloaded as Level-2 data, which means that they had already been atmospherically corrected to save time and avoid user errors (U.S. Geological Survey <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B111">2024</xref>). In addition, a <abbrev xlink:title="Digital Terrain Model" id="ABBRID0EMHAC">DTM</abbrev> and two orthophotos (from 1982/85 and 2023) were provided by the Province of Bolzano. Description of the data (acquisition date, source, and resolution) can be found in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">1</xref>.</p>
        <table-wrap id="T1" position="float" orientation="portrait">
          <label>Table 1.</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Overview of the remote sensing data.</p>
          </caption>
          <table id="TID0ET5BI" rules="all">
            <tbody>
              <tr>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">Data type</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">Acquisition date</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">Source</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">Spatial resolution</th>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="2" colspan="1">Multispectral satellite data</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">29/08/1985</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">Landsat 5 (Path/Row = 193/027), <ext-link xlink:href="https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/" ext-link-type="uri" xlink:type="simple">https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/</ext-link></td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">30 m</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">02/07/2022</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">Landsat 8 (Path/Row = 193/027), <ext-link xlink:href="https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/" ext-link-type="uri" xlink:type="simple">https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/</ext-link></td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">30 m</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">
                  <abbrev xlink:title="Digital Terrain Model" id="ABBRID0E6UBI">DTM</abbrev>
                </td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">May 2005, Accessed on October 2, 2024</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">Autonomous Province of Bolzano – South Tyrol, <ext-link xlink:href="https://geokatalog.buergernetz.bz.it" ext-link-type="uri" xlink:type="simple">https://geokatalog.buergernetz.bz.it</ext-link></td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2.5 m</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="2" colspan="1">Orthophotos</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">1982–1985</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">Autonomous Province of Bolzano – South Tyrol, <ext-link xlink:href="https://geokatalog.buergernetz.bz.it" ext-link-type="uri" xlink:type="simple">https://geokatalog.buergernetz.bz.it</ext-link></td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">1 m</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2023</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">Autonomous Province of Bolzano – South Tyrol, <ext-link xlink:href="https://geokatalog.buergernetz.bz.it" ext-link-type="uri" xlink:type="simple">https://geokatalog.buergernetz.bz.it</ext-link></td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.2 m</td>
              </tr>
            </tbody>
          </table>
        </table-wrap>
        <p>Once the satellite images were collected, they were processed using the Semi-Automatic Classification plugin (<abbrev xlink:title="Semi-Automatic Classification plugin" id="ABBRID0EWHAC">SCP</abbrev>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Congedo 2021</xref>) in QGIS (version 3.24.1-Tisler (QGIS Development Team <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">2022</xref>)). The bands were stacked into two separate rasters, one containing the Landsat 5 bands and one containing the Landsat 8 bands (Suppl. material <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="S1">1</xref>). The training areas were manually labelled in each study area and assigned to one of the two classes created in our case Forest and Non-Forest (containing grasslands, bare rock, and urban areas). Then, based on the training areas, each pixel in the multispectral image was categorized into the created classes, grouping together pixels based on their spectral signatures (n° of pixel for Forest class = 2633, n° of pixel for non-Forest class = 2246). Among the different algorithms available, the <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0ECIAC">RF</abbrev> algorithm was selected, keeping the default number of trees at 10 and enabling the balanced weight class’s function, as the number of pixels within the training areas for each class was not identical. For every pair of study areas with the same criteria (aspect + slope + year), the same training dataset was used. For each training set, we used 8 training areas for the Forest class and 8–12 areas for the non-Forest class, the latter chosen to capture the wider environmental variability of this class. This sampling strategy ensured a balance between computational efficiency and adequate representation of environmental conditions across the study area. Classification accuracy was assessed using the area-based error matrix method (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B82">Olofsson et al. 2014</xref>) implemented in the <abbrev xlink:title="Semi-Automatic Classification plugin" id="ABBRID0EKIAC">SCP</abbrev> plugin. This approach provides unbiased estimates of user’s, producer’s and overall accuracy. Accordingly, the accuracy of the <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0EOIAC">RF</abbrev> algorithm was evaluated for all Landsat images and for both classes using these unbiased metrics. Furthermore, a pixel analysis of the classification layers was performed to calculate the total forest area within each study area for two years, where the total amount of pixels and the number of pixels corresponding to the forest were counted. This was repeated for the 16 areas for the years 1985 and 2022, and the results were compared. Following the classification, the tree line drawing was performed manually in QGIS separately for each year. First, the tree lines were drawn using the <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0ESIAC">RF</abbrev> classifications for both years. Afterwards, tree lines were drawn directly on orthophotos from 1982/85 and 2023. Since the orthophotos did not have the same spatial resolution, the one from 2023 was down sampled from 20 cm to 1 m to match the resolution of the 1982/85 aerial image. The orthophoto used for 1982/85 is a composite of images from the Autonomous Province of Bolzano, collected between 1982 and 1985 and subsequently merged. Although there is no indication of which specific areas were photographed in which year, we assumed that, at tree line level within our study sites, no major biotic or abiotic disturbances occurred that would have disrupted the continuity of forest cover. After delineating the tree line, points were generated every 30 m along the lines, each carrying elevation information extracted from the underlying <abbrev xlink:title="Digital Terrain Model" id="ABBRID0EWIAC">DTM</abbrev>. The mean elevation of all points was then calculated, and the results were compared between manual and ML classification. When the positions of the study areas were selected during data preparation, the polygons used did not align perfectly with the pixels of the Landsat images and therefore also contained cut pixels. This resulted in study areas of slightly different size, ranging from 304 to 340 pixels of 30 m resolution, since only complete pixels were included in the classification and following processes. For this reason, only the percentage shift in forest cover will be used for the final comparison.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec sec-type="﻿Meteorological data" id="SECID0E1IAC">
        <title>﻿Meteorological data</title>
        <p>The meteorological daily data from 1981 to 2023 were provided by the Autonomous Province of Bolzano – South Tyrol through the official Weather South Tyrol platform (Weather South Tyrol <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B113">2024</xref>). In the Senales valley, a meteorological station is located in Vernagt/Vernago at 1700 m a.s.l., providing both temperature and precipitation records. Although monthly precipitation data have been available since 1953 and monthly temperature data since 1967, the daily dataset was preferred in this study, as it fully covers the study period and allows for a more detailed analysis of climatic trends that could have influenced tree line dynamics. The station was located at an average distance of approximately 5 km from all study sites, with the farthest site 10 km away (coordinates: WGS84 (EPGS: 4326) <named-content content-type="dwc:verbatimCoordinates"><named-content content-type="geo-json" specific-use="{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;Point&quot;,&quot;coordinates&quot;:[10.849280,46.735658]}" id="NCID0EDJAC">46.735658°N, 10.84928°E</named-content></named-content>). Therefore, it was considered the closest and most representative source of climatic data for the study area. Climatic trends were identified using a combination of linear models (<abbrev xlink:title="linear models" id="ABBRID0EHJAC">LM</abbrev>) and generalized additive models (<abbrev xlink:title="generalized additive models" id="ABBRID0ELJAC">GAM</abbrev>), performed in R (R Core Team <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B90">2014</xref>) with the <italic>mgcv</italic> package (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B116">Wood 2024</xref>). Although <abbrev xlink:title="linear models" id="ABBRID0EVJAC">LM</abbrev> offers a robust framework for analysing dependent data, they rely on the assumption of normally distributed conditional responses (Nazeri Tahroudi <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">2025</xref>). <abbrev xlink:title="generalized additive models" id="ABBRID0EZJAC">GAM</abbrev> offers a flexible framework for modelling non-linear relationships by fitting smooth functions to the data. They are particularly well-suited for capturing seasonal patterns and long-term trends in the occurrence and intensity of daily climatic variables (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B109">Underwood 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Bassett et al. 2021</xref>). The use of both modelling approaches allows for a more nuanced interpretation of the data: <abbrev xlink:title="linear models" id="ABBRID0EFKAC">LM</abbrev> captures the overall direction of change, while <abbrev xlink:title="generalized additive models" id="ABBRID0EJKAC">GAM</abbrev> reveals the non-linear temporal structure, offering insights into how the trends have evolved over time. This combined approach strengthens the robustness of the analysis and improves the interpretability of climate dynamics. In this study, trends were calculated for annual mean, minimum and maximum temperatures, as well as for annual precipitation. Furthermore, the analysis was conducted separately for each season to account for potential intra-annual patterns. Daily precipitation data along with daily minimum and maximum temperatures were used to estimate the solid fraction of precipitation in terms of snow water equivalent (<italic>SWE</italic>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Carrer et al. 2019</xref>). Traditionally, the threshold for distinguishing solid from liquid precipitation was based on the mean daily temperature, typically ranging between +1 °C (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Auer 1974</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Feiccabrino et al. 2015</xref>) and +2 °C (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Bartlett et al. 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Dai 2008</xref>). However, considering only the mean temperature implies that the temperatures exceed that value during the day. By incorporating both minimum and maximum daily temperatures, the estimate aligns more closely with reality, enabling a more accurate evaluation of the solid-to-liquid precipitation ratio. In this <italic>SWE</italic> estimation scheme, +2 °C is the temperature threshold chosen for both the daily maximum and minimum temperature. Therefore, for each day with a total precipitation amount equal to <italic>P</italic> and daily maximum and minimum values <italic>T<sub>max</sub></italic> and <italic>T<sub>min</sub></italic>, the <italic>SWE</italic> was established as follows:</p>
        <p>
          <mml:math id="M1" display="block"><mml:mtext> SWE </mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>{</mml:mo><mml:mtable columnspacing="1em" rowspacing="4pt"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:mtext> if </mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo movablelimits="true">max</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:mtext> and </mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo movablelimits="true">min</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mtext> i.e., no snow </mml:mtext><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:mtext> if </mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo movablelimits="true">max</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:mtext> and </mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo movablelimits="true">min</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mtext> i.e., all snow </mml:mtext><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo movablelimits="true">min</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo movablelimits="true">max</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo movablelimits="true">min</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:mtext> if </mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo movablelimits="true">max</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:mtext> and </mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo movablelimits="true">min</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="0.3em"/><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mtext> i.e., half &amp; and half </mml:mtext><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable><mml:mo>}</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math>
        </p>
        <p>with <italic>t<sub>h</sub></italic> = +2 °C</p>
        <p>Since SWE values are derived from a single meteorological station and it is not possible to apply a robust interpolation method that accounts for elevation gradients due to the lack of a sufficiently dense station network (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Brunetti et al. 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Crespi et al. 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Carrer et al. 2019</xref>), they should not be interpreted as absolute values of solid precipitation. Rather, they should be considered representative of the snow trends during the time period considered. Once the <italic>SWE</italic> was defined, the potential growth season (<abbrev xlink:title="growth season" id="ABBRID0EIMAC">GS</abbrev>) (its start, end, and length) was assessed based on both daily mean temperature and presence / absence of snow cover. Following the approach of the WATFLOOD model (<ext-link xlink:href="http://www.civil.uwaterloo.ca/watflood/" ext-link-type="uri" xlink:type="simple">http://www.civil.uwaterloo.ca/watflood/</ext-link>), also implemented in the TREELIM model (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Paulsen and Körner 2014</xref>) to identify the minimum thermal requirement for potential tree line position limits, we calculated the snowpack variation under the assumption that snow cover can constrain the actual length of the growing period, regardless of sufficiently warm air temperatures. Subsequently, we extracted the timing and duration of the thermal growing season each year based on the mean daily air temperature. The thermal start of the season (<abbrev xlink:title="start of the season" id="ABBRID0EVMAC">SOS</abbrev>) was defined as the first occurrence of six consecutive days with mean daily temperatures above 5 °C (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Frich et al. 2002</xref>). The thermal end of season (<abbrev xlink:title="end of season" id="ABBRID0E4MAC">EOS</abbrev>) was identified as the first occurrence of six consecutive days with daily mean temperatures below 5 °C after July 1. The length of the growing season (<abbrev xlink:title="length of the growing season" id="ABBRID0EBNAC">LOS</abbrev>) was then calculated as the number of days between <abbrev xlink:title="start of the season" id="ABBRID0EFNAC">SOS</abbrev> and <abbrev xlink:title="end of season" id="ABBRID0EJNAC">EOS</abbrev>. Once both parameters were integrated to define the potential “climatic” start of the growing season, a <abbrev xlink:title="linear models" id="ABBRID0ENNAC">LM</abbrev> and a <abbrev xlink:title="generalized additive models" id="ABBRID0ERNAC">GAM</abbrev> were applied to identify the trend in the set time period.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec sec-type="﻿Results" id="SECID0EVNAC">
      <title>﻿Results</title>
      <p>In the following section, we report the results of the multi-temporal classification and tree line elevation analysis, emphasizing spatial and elevational shifts across different topographic aspects. These findings are complemented by an evaluation of long-term climatic trends in temperature, precipitation, snow cover, and length of the growing season, providing an integrated understanding of the environmental factors driving vegetation dynamics and tree line development in the Senales valley.</p>
      <sec sec-type="﻿Accuracy of the RF classification" id="SECID0E1NAC">
        <title>﻿Accuracy of the <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0E6NAC">RF</abbrev> classification</title>
        <p>The results of the Landsat image classification are presented for years 1985 and 2022, respectively (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">2</xref>). Both producer’s and user’s accuracies were greater than 97% for both years considering the individual classes of the binary classification, while the overall accuracies were around 98% for both years.</p>
        <table-wrap id="T2" position="float" orientation="portrait">
          <label>Table 2.</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Accuracy assessments of the <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0EMXBI">RF</abbrev> classifications from year 1985 and 2022. The values were collected from the accuracy assessment performed using the Semi-Automatic Classification plugin (<abbrev xlink:title="Semi-Automatic Classification plugin" id="ABBRID0EQXBI">SCP</abbrev>) in QGIS (version 3.24.1- Tisler). PA = Producer’s Accuracy; UA = User’s Accuracy.</p>
          </caption>
          <table id="TID0ENECI" rules="all">
            <tbody>
              <tr>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">Landsat image (year)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">Forest PA (%)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">non-Forest PA (%)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">Forest UA (%)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">non-Forest UA (%)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">Overall accuracy (%)</th>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">1985</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">97.65</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">99.19</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">98.85</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">98.57</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">98.65</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2022</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">98.06</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">98.72</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">99.15</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">97.55</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">98.11</td>
              </tr>
            </tbody>
          </table>
        </table-wrap>
      </sec>
      <sec sec-type="﻿Spatial shift in forest cover and tree line advancements" id="SECID0EJOAC">
        <title>﻿Spatial shift in forest cover and tree line advancements</title>
        <p>The classified Landsat images from 1985 and 2022 provide an overview of the response of tree line dynamics in the Senales valley over a period of 37 years. In all 16 study areas, an increase in forest cover was detected between 1985 and 2022, both considering Landsat satellite images and orthophotos (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">2</xref>).</p>
        <p>The pixel analysis shows a heterogeneous spatial shift in forest cover in the 16 study areas (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">3</xref>). Areas exposed to W and S have experienced the largest increase in forest cover in the considered time period, with an expansion ranging between ≈ +46% and ≈ +104%. Two of the N- facing areas show a mid-magnitude gain of ≈ +31% and ≈ +38% in forest cover, while the remaining two N-exposed areas showed little increases, namely ≈ +16% and ≈ +19%. The E-exposed areas show an average expansion between ≈ +18% and ≈ +25%. The study area with the lowest increase in spatial cover is S1 with ≈ +14%. The overall shift in forest cover is ≈ +44%. The slope appears to have little influence on the change in forest cover, although areas on slopes less than 30° generally have a higher percentage increase in change than steeper slopes in most cases. Study areas W1 and W2 (both W-exposed areas with steepness greater than 30°) show a substantial spatial shift, with 60.48% and 103.67% more forest cover in 2022 compared to 1985.</p>
        <p>An overall elevational advancement of the tree lines can be seen in 15 of the 16 study areas based on the Landsat classifications (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">3</xref>). The greatest advancements are recorded in areas exposed to W. The mean upward shifting for these four study areas is ≈ +53 m over the 37-year period. For the other cardinal directions, E, S, and N, the respective mean advancement are ≈ +31 m, ≈ +28 m and ≈ +15 m. Taking into account the areas separately, the pattern also shows that the N-facing areas generally show small upward shifts if not regression (≈-6 m to ≈ +26 m), while the areas with an E-facing slope show mid to large advancements (≈+20 m to ≈+44 m). Interestingly, S-facing areas show a relatively large advancement similar to that of E or W (≈+42 m to ≈+44 m), or a relatively small upward shifting similar to the N-facing slopes (≈+13 m to ≈+17 m).</p>
        <p>For tree lines derived directly from orthophotos from 1982/85 and 2023, only advancements were registered (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">4</xref>). Similarly to the Landsat-derived tree lines, the western exposure reveals the biggest advancements but with an increased magnitude. The mean tree line advances for the four aspects are ≈+77 m, ≈+38 m, ≈ +36 m and ≈ +28 m for W, N, S, and E, respectively. Since the spatial resolution of the orthophotos is 1 m, they are considered truer to the real-life values compared to the 30 m resolution of the Landsat images. Due to shadows present in the orthophotos, an accurate tree line drawing was not feasible in all areas.</p>
        <p>A comparison between the two data sets (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">4</xref>) reveals a considerable difference in tree line advancements in some areas. Areas N2 and W1 show the biggest mismatch between the changes registered with Landsat and orthophotos, whereas areas such as E4, S2, and S3 show very similar advancements. The tree lines from orthophotos generally show a greater elevational advance compared to those derived from Landsat, that is, an average shift of ≈+45 m compared to ≈+32 m. Only in 4 areas the difference between orthophotos and Landsat tree lines is greater than 30 meters, corresponding to 1 pixel in the Landsat images, and only two of them are greater than a two-pixel difference (marked in red in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">4</xref>). Both data sets show a diverse magnitude of the advancements between the study areas, even with the same aspect and slope.</p>
        <fig id="F2" position="float" orientation="portrait">
          <object-id content-type="doi">10.3897/ved.177152.figure2</object-id>
          <object-id content-type="arpha">838B3500-9545-56A2-B721-E8493FC66C85</object-id>
          <label>Figure 2.</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Examples of tree lines derived from <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0E1WBI">RF</abbrev> classification from Landsat 5 and 8 (1a, 2a, 3a, 4a) and manual delineation based on orthophotos (1b, 2b, 3b, 4b) for the years 1985 (yellow line) and 2022 (red line) for the four different aspects. The background image is an orthophoto from 1982/85 (original resolution = 1 m) provided by the Autonomous Province of Bolzano – South Tyrol (Autonomous Province of Bolzano – South Tyrol, 2024).</p>
          </caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="ved-62-001-g002.jpg" position="float" orientation="portrait" xlink:type="simple" id="oo_1493529.jpg">
            <uri content-type="original_file">https://binary.pensoft.net/fig/1493529</uri>
          </graphic>
        </fig>
        <table-wrap id="T3" position="float" orientation="portrait">
          <label>Table 3.</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Forest cover in the study areas for the years 1985 and 2022 (A) derived from the classification performed on Landsat satellite images. The ranking shows areas with the largest to smallest shift registered between the two years. The shift is indicated in hectares (for the single year) and percentages (the difference between years). Mean elevations for the points created with a 30 m distance along lines (B). The study areas are ranked from largest to smallest elevational shift (in meters). Exposition of the study areas is indicated by colours: Orange = W; Pink = S; Green = E; Blue = N.</p>
          </caption>
          <table id="TID0ECICI" rules="all">
            <tbody>
              <tr>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="4">A – Change (%) in Forest Cover</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="4">B – Elevational Shift of the tree line (m)</th>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">Study Area</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">1985 (ha)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">2022 (ha)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">∆ (%)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">Study Area</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">1985 (m)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">2022 (m)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">∆ (m)</th>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">9.81</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">19.98</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+103.7</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2234.44</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2303.97</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+69.53</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">8.19</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">16.56</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+102.2</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2159.42</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2216.38</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+56.96</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">6.66</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">12.6</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+89.2</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2150.75</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2200.40</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+49.65</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">6.48</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">10.71</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+65.3</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2246.05</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2289.58</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+43.53</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">11.16</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">17.91</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+60.5</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">1987.63</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2029.99</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+42.36</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">13.59</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">19.8</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+45.7</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2234.66</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2275.21</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+40.55</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">13.14</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">18.09</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+37.7</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2159.48</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2194.68</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+35.20</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">8.28</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">11.34</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+37.0</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2225.72</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2258.14</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+32.42</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">8.1</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">10.62</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+31.1</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2147.95</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2177.04</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+29.09</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">15.21</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">18.99</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+24.8</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2200.84</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2227.68</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+26.84</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">15.66</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">19.08</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+21.8</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2286.17</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2308.07</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+21.90</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">13.68</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">16.65</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+21.7</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2252.73</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2272.69</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+19.96</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">9.63</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">11.43</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+18.7</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2181.55</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2198.48</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+16.93</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">17.91</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">21.15</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+18.1</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2214.50</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2231.33</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+16.83</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">15.66</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">18.8</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+16.1</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2149.02</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2162.23</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+13.21</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">11.88</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">13.59</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+14.4</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2258.83</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2252.64</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">-6.19</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="3">
                  <bold>Average change</bold>
                </td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+<bold>44.3</bold></td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="3">
                  <bold>Average shift</bold>
                </td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+<bold>31.2</bold></td>
              </tr>
            </tbody>
          </table>
        </table-wrap>
        <table-wrap id="T4" position="float" orientation="portrait">
          <label>Table 4.</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Tree lines deriving from Landsat images (left) and orthophotos (right). Study areas are ranked by largest to smallest elevational shift from orthophotos. The far-right column shows differences between datasets: positive values indicate larger advance in orthophotos, negative values larger advance in Landsat. Largest differences (&gt;30 m) are highlighted in red.</p>
          </caption>
          <table id="TID0EJ5CI" rules="all">
            <tbody>
              <tr>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="4">Source: Landsat</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="4">Source: Orthophotos</th>
                <th rowspan="2" colspan="1">Difference (m)</th>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">Study Area</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">1985 (m a.s.l)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">2022 (m a.s.l)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">∆ Elevation (m)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">Study Area</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">1982/85 (m a.s.l)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">2023 (m a.s.l)</th>
                <th rowspan="1" colspan="1">∆ Elevation (m)</th>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2159.48</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2194.68</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+35.20</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2105.66</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2205.92</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+100.26</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f27176">+65.06</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W2 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2159.42</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2216.38</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+56.96</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2149.01</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2236.98</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+87.97</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f27176">+31.01</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2258.83</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2252.64</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">-6.19</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2234.33</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2311.15</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+76.82</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f27176">+83.01</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2234.44</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2303.97</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+69.53</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2238.44</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2298.53</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+60.09</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">-9.44</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2150.75</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2200.40</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+49.65</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #fec34d">W3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2159.04</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2217.85</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+58.81</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+9.16</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2246.05</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2289.58</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+43.53</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2263.61</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2317.46</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+53.85</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+10.32</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2181.55</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2198.48</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+16.93</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2158.94</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2209.82</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+50.88</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f27176">+33.95</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2286.17</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2308.07</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+21.90</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2280.58</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2321.37</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+40.79</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+18.89</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">1987.63</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2029.99</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+42.36</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">1994.31</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2034.02</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+39.71</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">-2.65</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2234.66</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2275.21</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+40.55</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S2 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2259.10</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2297.58</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+38.48</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">-2.07</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2214.50</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2231.33</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+16.83</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2207.75</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2237.47</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+29.72</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+12.89</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2225.72</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2258.14</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+32.42</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E3 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2240.94</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2268.32</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+27.38</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">-5.04</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E4 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2252.73</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2272.69</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+19.96</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E4 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2270.47</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2293.64</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+23.17</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+3.21</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2149.02</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2162.23</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+13.21</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #f7abad">S1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2162.56</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2179.02</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+16.46</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+3.25</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2147.95</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2177.04</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+29.09</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #8fcb8d">E1 A30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2198.92</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2206.70</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+7.78</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">-21.31</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2200.84</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2227.68</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+26.84</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="background: #98d7df">N4 B30</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2215.05</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">2217.91</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+2.86</td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">-23.98</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="3">
                  <bold>Average shift</bold>
                </td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+<bold>31.2</bold></td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="3">
                  <bold>Average shift</bold>
                </td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+<bold>44.69</bold></td>
                <td rowspan="1" colspan="1">+<bold>12.98</bold></td>
              </tr>
            </tbody>
          </table>
        </table-wrap>
      </sec>
      <sec sec-type="﻿Meteorological data analysis" id="SECID0EPPAC">
        <title>﻿Meteorological data analysis</title>
        <p>This section details the climatic trends for temperature, precipitation, and derived variables from 1981 to 2023, to understand the possible climatic drivers in the upward shifting of the tree line.</p>
        <p>The annual mean temperature over the considered period shows a significant trend (p-value &lt; 0.01), indicating that the temperature pattern is not linear (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">3A</xref>). When <abbrev xlink:title="linear models" id="ABBRID0E1PAC">LM</abbrev> is applied before and after the direction change, at the point of inflection, a significant decrease in mean temperature can be observed from 1981 to 2000 (approximately -0.07 °C per year), followed by a significant annual increase of 0.05 °C from 2000 to today. By contrast, annual precipitation did not show significant trends according to either model, highlighting its complex and irregular behaviour compared to the other climatic variable (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">3B</xref>). Furthermore, considering seasonal mean temperatures (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">4</xref>), spring has experienced a significant overall increase, approximately 0.04 °C each year (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">4A</xref>), and together with summer (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">4B</xref>) and autumn (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">4C</xref>), they show a significant non-linearity in the trend. Although spring observed an increase in temperature since the early 1990s, summer only shows a change in the trend ten years later together with the mean temperatures in autumn. Maximum temperatures have decreased significantly in winter (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">4D</xref>) and autumn (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">4C</xref>) (approximately -0.05 °C and -0.04 °C per year, respectively), while during the warmer months, no significant increase in maximum temperatures was observed. Changes in the direction of the non-linear trend were observed earlier for autumn temperatures (early 2000) and almost 10 years later for winter temperatures. Minimum temperatures show significant trends across all seasons, with notable increases of 0.04 °C, 0.04 °C, 0.02 °C, and 0.04 °C for each year in winter, summer, autumn, and spring, respectively. In the case of spring, the increase is so pronounced that the inflection point in temperature trends is virtually absent, indicating constant increments with no setbacks during the 2000’s.</p>
        <p>Regarding seasonal precipitation, only summer experienced a significant increase in the last 37 years, with +1.62 mm per year, resulting in a total increase of approximately 60 mm during the studied period (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5">5</xref>). This is also the only trend that shows two direction change points, reflecting the higher variability of the pattern considering precipitations. No significant trends were observed in the other three seasons (Suppl. material <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="S1">1</xref>).</p>
        <p>Finally, we identify the potential start and end of the growing season alongside the cumulative depth of snow, measured as SWE (mm). No significant trends were detected in any of these variables, particularly regarding the growing season length, which is intrinsically linked to both its start and end dates. In addition, the depth of the snow did not show a discernible trend during the study period, reflecting a pattern characterized by high variability and a lack of consistent directional change. This behaviour appears to be closely associated with the stochastic nature of total precipitation throughout the considered time period (Suppl. material <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="S1">1</xref>).</p>
        <fig id="F3" position="float" orientation="portrait">
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          <object-id content-type="arpha">B2BEFC62-0913-5232-A8B1-E84A525E5D2A</object-id>
          <label>Figure 3.</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Annual mean temperature (A) and cumulative precipitation (B) between 1981 and 2023. Points represent observed values, lines show trends from <abbrev xlink:title="generalized additive models" id="ABBRID0E21CI">GAM</abbrev> and <abbrev xlink:title="linear models" id="ABBRID0E61CI">LM</abbrev>, and shaded areas indicate <abbrev xlink:title="generalized additive models" id="ABBRID0ED2CI">GAM</abbrev> confidence intervals.</p>
          </caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="ved-62-001-g003.jpg" position="float" orientation="portrait" xlink:type="simple" id="oo_1493530.jpg">
            <uri content-type="original_file">https://binary.pensoft.net/fig/1493530</uri>
          </graphic>
        </fig>
        <fig id="F4" position="float" orientation="portrait">
          <object-id content-type="doi">10.3897/ved.177152.figure4</object-id>
          <object-id content-type="arpha">0BE36FB5-8107-5D22-931B-8E1EB119F003</object-id>
          <label>Figure 4.</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Seasonal mean maximum and minimum temperature trends between 1981 and 2023 for spring (A), summer (B), autumn (C), and winter (D). Points represent observed temperature values, lines show trends estimated using <abbrev xlink:title="generalized additive models" id="ABBRID0EU2CI">GAM</abbrev> and <abbrev xlink:title="linear models" id="ABBRID0EY2CI">LM</abbrev>, and shaded areas indicate <abbrev xlink:title="generalized additive models" id="ABBRID0E32CI">GAM</abbrev> confidence intervals. Orange = Maximum temperature; Green = Mean temperature; Blue = Minimum temperature.</p>
          </caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="ved-62-001-g004.jpg" position="float" orientation="portrait" xlink:type="simple" id="oo_1493531.jpg">
            <uri content-type="original_file">https://binary.pensoft.net/fig/1493531</uri>
          </graphic>
        </fig>
        <fig id="F5" position="float" orientation="portrait">
          <object-id content-type="doi">10.3897/ved.177152.figure5</object-id>
          <object-id content-type="arpha">11F027B6-1077-524B-8D66-0DC2139B5E4E</object-id>
          <label>Figure 5.</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Summer trend of cumulative precipitation between 1981 and 2023. Points represent observed precipitation values, lines represent trends from <abbrev xlink:title="generalized additive models" id="ABBRID0EN3CI">GAM</abbrev> and <abbrev xlink:title="linear models" id="ABBRID0ER3CI">LM</abbrev>, and shaded areas indicate <abbrev xlink:title="generalized additive models" id="ABBRID0EV3CI">GAM</abbrev> confidence intervals.</p>
          </caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="ved-62-001-g005.jpg" position="float" orientation="portrait" xlink:type="simple" id="oo_1493532.jpg">
            <uri content-type="original_file">https://binary.pensoft.net/fig/1493532</uri>
          </graphic>
        </fig>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec sec-type="﻿Discussion" id="SECID0ELBAE">
      <title>﻿Discussion</title>
      <sec sec-type="﻿Application of remote sensing, machine learning, and orthophoto interpretation in tree line assessment" id="SECID0EPBAE">
        <title>﻿Application of remote sensing, machine learning, and orthophoto interpretation in tree line assessment</title>
        <p>This study demonstrates that the combined use of satellite data from the Landsat program and ML algorithms can play a key role in ecological research that addresses land-cover changes on large spatial and temporal scales. Integration of historical aerial imagery further supports and improves classification accuracy, providing valuable context for long-term landscape dynamics. The combination of Landsat data, GIS, and the <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0EVBAE">RF</abbrev> algorithm has been successfully used for other <abbrev xlink:title="land use/land cover" id="ABBRID0EZBAE">LULC</abbrev> assessments (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">Pham et al. 2024</xref>) and exhibited a strong classification accuracy in handling complex land cover classes and acting as an efficient method to assess landscape dynamics. Although the treeline appears to follow a similar pattern when considering both the manual delineation and the classified forest boundaries, some differences in the identification of the ecotone limit were observed. Transition ecotones, such as tree lines, are likely to exhibit significant differences in the outcome classification of forest cover, often due to groups of trees showing considerable variations in appearance, even within the same area of interest (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">Nguyen et al. 2022</xref>). This leads to differences in the mapping continuity in the context of photointerpretation. The precision and reliability of manual interpretation are strictly influenced by the experience of the annotators, who detect and interpret geographical features in the images based on their professional knowledge (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B100">Tarko et al. 2021</xref>). However, it is labour intensive and time consuming, and the consistency of the results is also subject to operator fatigue (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Borghuis et al. 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B98">Svatonova 2016</xref>). Moreover, the heterogeneity of an area due to disturbances or topographic variability remains difficult to distinguish, especially for supervised classifiers, where the high variability of the spectral signal cannot be detected well in the land use/land cover (<abbrev xlink:title="land use/land cover" id="ABBRID0ERCAE">LULC</abbrev>) application, particularly in mountain regions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">Shimizu et al. 2023</xref>). In heterogeneous landscapes, ML algorithms can be easily misled, as their reliance on spectral information alone makes it challenging to accurately separate neighbouring land-cover classes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Beaubien 1986</xref>). The observation that orthophotos better capture site complexity may also reflect their substantially higher spatial resolution compared to Landsat imagery, in addition to the greater interpretative skill of the annotators. For example, for example, in the case of area N2, the orthophotos better capture the complexity of the site and deliver results that are truer to real life. For the remaining study areas, the deviation between the tree lines derived from Landsat and orthophotos was less than 30 meters, corresponding to less than one pixel in the Landsat images. As the overall difference was 13 m, which is not considered a large deviation, <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0E4CAE">RF</abbrev> was confirmed as a suitable, time-saving and accurate methodology also for highly heterogeneous landscape classification.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec sec-type="﻿Tree line advancements and potential climatic influence" id="SECID0EBDAE">
        <title>﻿Tree line advancements and potential climatic influence</title>
        <p>The observed temperature and precipitation trends are in line with those of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Hansson et al. (2023)</xref>, who investigated the link between seasonality and tree line migration in various zones of the northern hemisphere. Taking seasonal trends separately into account is fundamental, as variations in temperature and precipitation could have different effects on the phenology of trees and therefore affect their recruitment and growth. For example, opposing summer and winter trends may counteract each other when viewed annually, or the mean and summer temperature could show a divergent trend if studied separately (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B119">Zheng et al. 2021</xref>). The measurable effect of temperatures on the advancement of the tree line is opposed, as in our case, to the lower correlation with precipitation patterns. The significant increase in minimum temperatures appears to be related to the advancement of the tree line, while maximum temperatures do not contribute to migration, but rather to the growth performances of already settled trees during the growing season (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Hansson et al. 2023</xref>). Warmer autumn temperatures can extend the growing season in cold-limited areas such as high-elevation tree lines, extending the duration of the necessary conditions for tree establishment and growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Coops et al. 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Paulsen and Körner 2014</xref>). Thus, the timing of meeting the thermic criteria, in spring and autumn, is more important than the actual temperatures of the rest of the year. Even if in our case no significant trend has been observed, the end of the growing season seems to occur progressively later during the year. Furthermore, the pronounced increase in spring minimum temperatures appears to have contributed to the tree line advances. This trend not only extends the duration of the growing season but also reduces the probability of frost damage in plants, as higher mean temperatures are generally correlated with a lower probability of frost events (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Kharuk et al. 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B115">Wipf et al. 2009</xref>). However, during extreme frost events, trees are more susceptible to frost damage, particularly in the absence of a protective snow layer that would otherwise protect seedlings and newly emerged leaves early in the growing season. Despite increasing maximum and minimum temperatures in summer, which could potentially reduce the odds of tree line migration (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Hansson et al. 2023</xref>) due to the higher rate of evapotranspiration (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Coops et al. 2013</xref>) and the increased probability of drought stress caused by the lack of available soil water, in the Senales Valley, the significant increase in summer precipitation may have maintained soil moisture levels sufficient to prevent trees from experiencing water stress.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec sec-type="﻿Influence of topographical variables" id="SECID0ELEAE">
        <title>﻿Influence of topographical variables</title>
        <p>The aspect also seems to have a considerable impact on the different magnitudes of the upward shift of the tree line. In agreement with the study by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B108">Tourville et al. (2023)</xref>, the greatest tree line advancements were observed on W-exposed slopes. As a result of higher-intensity solar radiation on southern slopes, trees in these areas face two direct consequences: drier condition due to soil water deficit and higher chance of photoinhibition (oxidative damage) from more direct sunlight, reducing their recruitment and growth potential (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Holtmeier and Broll 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Doeweler 2021</xref>), while for exposed areas in the north, the limiting factor was assessed to be mean lower temperatures (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B112">Wang et al. 2021</xref>). Based on data from the Global Wind Atlas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Davis et al. 2023</xref>), the prevailing wind direction at 10 m height – the level that most influences tree growth and mechanical stability – exhibits a bimodal pattern along a NW-SE axis, reflecting the valley-parallel thermal circulation typical of alpine valleys. In addition, both wind frequency and intensity are dominated by flows from the N-NW sector, likely associated with föhn-type downslope events. As a result, S to SE-facing slopes are consistently exposed to the strongest and most energetic winds, and this could also be the reason why the E exposure in Senales valley seems to show limited extent in tree line advancement. Wind exposed locations are cooler than those protected from wind (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Holtmeier and Broll 2010</xref>), which could influence delays in phenological development during the growing season (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">Telewski 1995</xref>). Leaf desiccation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Cairns 2001</xref>) and leaf abrasion of the wax layers by wind-driven ice and mineral particles during winter (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Dahms 1992</xref>) could both lead to increased water loss rates in evergreen species, undermining their survival rate at tree line level. In addition, wind speeds greater than 3 m s<sup>−1</sup> reduce height growth in young trees (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Kronfuss and Havranek 1999</xref>). The steepness of the slope in the Senales valley seemed to have no clear influence on the advances of the tree line. Even if some studies suggest that steeper terrain is more likely to be subjected to disturbances due to intensified geomorphological processes, which can limit further tree growth at high elevations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Holtmeier and Broll 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Leonelli et al. 2016</xref>), it has been proven that these factors occur mainly in areas with high slope angles (&gt;45°), where repeated high-energy geomorphic events are likely to occur (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Leonelli et al. 2016</xref>). Most of the hillsides in the Senales valley are quite steep, but also far from constant within the individual study areas. Also, our division of the areas used 30° as the threshold between steep and non-steep zones, so it might not be adequate to draw any conclusions based on this.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec sec-type="﻿Limitations of the study and future prospects" id="SECID0EHGAE">
        <title>﻿Limitations of the study and future prospects</title>
        <p>We are aware that working with intermediate coarse resolution satellite data in areas of complex topography and vegetation cover can lead to ambiguous results in the classification, as smaller variations are not detectable. Therefore, in a mountainous area, scarce tree cover in the tree line ecotone can cause errors or misinterpretations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B114">Wei et al. 2020</xref>). Finer-resolution multiband satellite data such as Sentinel-2 could provide deeper insights into land cover changes, particularly in complex and mixed land-use contexts (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Babitha et al. 2025</xref>). Sentinel-2 imagery has been successfully used not only for land cover and land use classification (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B103">Topaloğlu et al. 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Forkuor et al. 2017</xref>), but also to assess forest ecological variables such as canopy cover (<abbrev xlink:title="canopy cover" id="ABBRID0E4GAE">CC</abbrev>) and leaf area index (<abbrev xlink:title="leaf area index" id="ABBRID0EBHAE">LAI</abbrev>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">Korhonen et al. 2017</xref>), as well as for the detection of herbaceous and tree species (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Immitzer et al. 2016</xref>). Most comparative studies between Sentinel-2 and Landsat 8 have reported equal or superior performance of Sentinel-2-based models, largely due to the inclusion of the red-edge band (B5), which has shown strong correlations with forest parameters estimation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Chrysafis et al. 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Astola et al. 2019</xref>). Satellite images cannot assess tree height, so it is not clear whether the tree lines derived from Landsat data follow one definition or another. Moreover, common criteria for defining forest presence or absence typically involve not only tree height, but also canopy density and structural form (e.g., the presence of shrubs). Since Landsat imagery cannot capture all these structural characteristics, the classification becomes more uncertain, especially at tree line level, where the boundaries between the two classes are inherently more fragmented. Furthermore, what can be considered as forest needs to cover a certain area to be detected as such within the Landsat image. Subsequently, this can cause a spatio-temporal delay in the assessment of the tree line as existing trees (potentially already settled in that position for a long time) are falsely registered as new, advancing individuals (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Luo and Dai 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Garbarino et al. 2023</xref>). In recent decades, new advances in technology have led to Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) <abbrev xlink:title="remote sensing" id="ABBRID0E4HAE">RS</abbrev>, which enables the measurement of discrete tree stand structures in three dimensions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B118">Zhang et al. 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">Sharma et al. 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B105">Torresani et al. 2024a</xref>). However, terrestrial and airborne applications are limited by high costs, long processing times, and restricted availability of free user data (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Gupta and Sharma 2022</xref>). Since 2018, the Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (<abbrev xlink:title="Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation" id="ABBRID0ERIAE">GEDI</abbrev>), a spaceborne LiDAR sensor developed by NASA has provided high-resolution 3D observations of the Earth’s forests (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Dubayah et al. 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B87">Potapov et al. 2021</xref>). <abbrev xlink:title="Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation" id="ABBRID0E4IAE">GEDI</abbrev> data have been successfully used to derive information not only on forest canopy height (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">Marselis et al. 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B76">Moudrý et al. 2024b</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Kacic et al. 2025</xref>), but also on others key ecological parameters of forest ecosystems, such as forest biodiversity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B104">Torresani et al. 2023</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B75">Moudrý et al. 2024a</xref>), above-ground biomass (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Dubayah et al. 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B93">Saarela et al. 2022</xref>), and topographic heterogeneity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B88">Pracná et al. 2025</xref>). Thus, the integration of technologies such as <abbrev xlink:title="Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation" id="ABBRID0EBKAE">GEDI</abbrev> with satellite imagery could provide more precise and near-real-time delineation, thereby improving the accuracy and reliability of treeline boundary detection. Future studies might apply larger training datasets, as well as advanced <abbrev xlink:title="remote sensing" id="ABBRID0EFKAE">RS</abbrev> technologies such as <abbrev xlink:title="Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation" id="ABBRID0EJKAE">GEDI</abbrev> to improve the robustness of the performance of the <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0ENKAE">RF</abbrev> algorithm and detangle the complex spatio-temporal relationship between forest dynamics and climatic drivers. Another important aspect is having a certain knowledge about the vegetation cover within the area studied beforehand to avoid classifying shrubs, such as dwarf mountain pine (e.g. <italic>Pinus mugo</italic> Turra) as trees. However, dwarf pine is not widespread in the Senales valley. Finally, another important factor is the abandonment of traditional land use practices in high mountain regions. Practices such as cattle grazing and tree logging might have previously modified or pushed the tree line to lower elevations than the climate would allow and suppressed the re-establishment of tree seedlings (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Bello-Rodriguez et al. 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">Mienna et al. 2022</xref>). Therefore, advances in forest revegetation could potentially also occur independently of warming temperatures and are rather due to changes in land use. Also taking into consideration anthropogenic disturbances would have provided a broader understanding of the tree line dynamics since the 1980s and possibly indicated strong human influence in some areas. So, investigating historical data on land use in the area would add knowledge on the influence of human activities on current and historical tree lines.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec sec-type="﻿Conclusions" id="SECID0E2KAE">
      <title>﻿Conclusions</title>
      <p>This study provides a comprehensive assessment of tree line dynamics in the Senales Valley over the past four decades, demonstrating the potential to integrate satellite-based <abbrev xlink:title="remote sensing" id="ABBRID0EBLAE">RS</abbrev> and ML algorithms to assess ecological responses to climate change in alpine regions. The observed upward tree line shift, particularly pronounced on W-facing slopes, highlights the influence of local topography and climatic variability on vegetation patterns. Among climatic factors, the increase in minimum temperatures during spring and autumn appears to be a key driver of tree line advancement, because it potentially stretches the growing season and decreases the possibility of frost stress. The concurrent rise in summer precipitation paired with an increase in temperatures during the same season likely mitigated drought-related conditions that could have slowed the advancement. In contrast, strong föhn-type winds on S- and SE-facing slopes could have restricted upward expansion, highlighting the interplay between thermal and mechanical stress. The comparison between orthophotos and Landsat-based <abbrev xlink:title="Random Forest" id="ABBRID0EFLAE">RF</abbrev> classifications confirmed the high reliability of this approach, with deviations typically below one pixel, supporting its suitability for long-term tree line monitoring. Future studies should integrate field surveys, finer resolution datasets, and historical land use information to better unravel the relative roles of climatic and anthropogenic factors shaping the alpine forest boundaries.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec sec-type="﻿Declaration of competing interest" id="SECID0EJLAE">
      <title>﻿Declaration of competing interest</title>
      <p>The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec sec-type="﻿CRediT authorship contribution statement" id="SECID0EOLAE">
      <title>﻿CRediT authorship contribution statement</title>
      <p>Irene Menegaldo: Writing – original draft, Visualization, Validation, Methodology, Investigation, Formal analysis, Conceptualization. Victoria Mølbach Sforzini: Writing – original draft, Visualization, Methodology, Investigation, Formal analysis, Conceptualization. Roberto Tognetti: Writing – review &amp; editing, Validation, Supervision, Conceptualization. Michele Torresani: Writing – review &amp; editing, Validation, Supervision, Conceptualization.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec sec-type="﻿Declaration of Generative AI and AI-assisted technologies in the writing process" id="SECID0ETLAE">
      <title>﻿Declaration of Generative AI and AI-assisted technologies in the writing process</title>
      <p>During the preparation of this work, the authors utilized AI software (ChatGPT) to enhance the phrasing, spelling, and grammar of the manuscript. After employing this tool, the authors reviewed and edited all content as necessary and assumed full responsibility for the content of the publication.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec sec-type="﻿Funding" id="SECID0EYLAE">
      <title>﻿Funding</title>
      <p>MT and RT are partially funded by the “MAP-Rezia” (ID 0200061) project within the Interreg VI-A Italy-Switzerland Programme.</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
  <back>
    <ack>
      <title>﻿Acknowledgments</title>
      <p>We are grateful to the Editor and the anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments and appreciation, which helped improve the manuscript. This work was supported by the Open Access Publishing Fund of the Free University of Bozen-Bolzano.</p>
    </ack>
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    <fn-group>
      <fn id="fntitle">
        <p>Topical Collection: "Advances in vegetation analysis through remote sensing technology". Edited by Gianmarco Tavilla, Valeria Tomaselli, Maria Adamo, Karol Mikula, Eliana Lima da Fonseca, Sergio Vargas Zesati.</p>
      </fn>
    </fn-group>
    <sec sec-type="supplementary-material">
      <title>Supplementary materials</title>
      <supplementary-material id="S1" position="float" orientation="portrait" xlink:type="simple">
        <object-id content-type="doi">10.3897/ved.177152.suppl1</object-id>
        <object-id content-type="arpha">6FC8004C-9B9A-5D28-8746-59F5CBB7C211</object-id>
        <label>﻿Supplementary material 1</label>
        <caption>
          <p>﻿Suppl. table and figures</p>
        </caption>
        <statement content-type="dataType">
          <label>Data type</label>
          <p>pdf</p>
        </statement>
        <media xlink:href="ved-62-001-s001.pdf" mimetype="application" mime-subtype="pdf" position="float" orientation="portrait" xlink:type="simple" id="oo_1493533.pdf">
          <uri content-type="original_file">https://binary.pensoft.net/file/1493533</uri>
        </media>
        <permissions>
          <license xlink:type="simple">
            <license-p>This dataset is made available under the Open Database License (http://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1.0). The Open Database License (ODbL) is a license agreement intended to allow users to freely share, modify, and use this Dataset while maintaining this same freedom for others, provided that the original source and author(s) are credited.</license-p>
          </license>
        </permissions>
        <attrib specific-use="authors">Irene Menegaldo, Victoria Mølbach Sforzini, Roberto Tognetti, Michele Torresani</attrib>
      </supplementary-material>
    </sec>
  </back>
</article>
